NASA has released new predictions on the trajectory of the asteroid 2024 YR4, which has drawn the attention of the scientific community
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NASA has now significantly reduced the estimated probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth in December 2032, lowering the risk from 3.1% to 0.28%. This revision was made possible thanks to new high-precision observations that refined the asteroid’s trajectory, now indicating a 99.72% probability that it will pass without hitting the planet.
Despite the reduced risk, NASA and other space agencies continue to monitor the asteroid to further improve the accuracy of predictions. The development has sparked mixed reactions on social media, with some users expressing relief while others remain skeptical about the estimates. Some discussions even joke about the probability eventually becoming negative.
There is also speculation about the possibility of the asteroid hitting the Moon, with an estimated 1% chance compared to 0.28% for Earth. This scenario has reignited debates on the effectiveness of planetary defense strategies and the need for deflection missions in case the risk does not continue to decrease in the coming years.
Source: planetarydefense. This content was created with AI assistance and reviewed by the editorial team.
